Vistra Corp.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$158.49
FAIR PRICE
$141.95
MARGIN
$16.54
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FPI RATING
High-quality fundamentals and consistent growth trajectory, but elevated debt levels and expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$113.56
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
28.3%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $158.49, VST trades 28.3% above the conservative entry level of $113.56. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $141.95 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate VST's fair price
Vistra Corp.'s fair price of $141.95 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Utilities peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $158.49, VST trades 10.4% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting VST's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing VST's valuation multiples against Utilities peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for VST, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate VST's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of VST?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Utilities peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Vistra Corp. is $141.95. At the current market price of $158.49, VST trades 10.4% above its calculated fair value.
Is VST overvalued or undervalued?+
Vistra Corp. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $158.49, which is 10.4% above the fair price of $141.95. The P/E ratio of 57.9x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for VST?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $141.95, the conservative entry level for VST is $113.56. At the current market price of $158.49, the stock trades 28.3% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is VST's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for VST daily after market close. The current fair price of $141.95 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect VST's fair price calculation?+
VST's fair price of $141.95 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Utilities peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 57.9x, ROE of 22.6%, and dividend yield of 0.56%.
Is VST a good buy right now?+
At $158.49, VST trades 10.4% above our fair value estimate of $141.95. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 22.6% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does VST pay dividends?+
VST has a dividend yield of 0.56%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.