Microsoft
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$424.60
FAIR PRICE
$305.74
MARGIN
$118.86
FPI RATING
Stable earnings and revenue and strong profitability, but limited growth momentum.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$244.59
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
42.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $424.60, MSFT trades 42.4% above the conservative entry level of $244.59. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $305.74 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
Loading chart data...
P/E RATIO HISTORY
Loading chart data...
COMING SOON
Get notified when MSFT's fair price changes
Fair Price Index app is launching soon with push notifications when valuations shift for stocks you follow.
iOS and Android · Free tier available
KEY FACTS
CEO
Satya Nadella
COUNTRY
US
HEADQUARTERS
Redmond
SECTOR
Technology
EXCHANGE
NASDAQ
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate MSFT's fair price
Microsoft's fair price of $305.74 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $424.60, MSFT trades 28.0% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting MSFT's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing MSFT's valuation multiples against Technology peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for MSFT, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate MSFT's fair value with your own inputs.
LEARN MORE
POWERED BY BULIOS
Get full analysis, financials, and AI insights for MSFT.
Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of MSFT?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Microsoft is $305.74. At the current market price of $424.60, MSFT trades 28.0% above its calculated fair value.
Is MSFT overvalued or undervalued?+
Microsoft is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $424.60, which is 28.0% above the fair price of $305.74. The P/E ratio of 26.0x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for MSFT?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $305.74, the conservative entry level for MSFT is $244.59. At the current market price of $424.60, the stock trades 42.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is MSFT's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for MSFT daily after market close. The current fair price of $305.74 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect MSFT's fair price calculation?+
MSFT's fair price of $305.74 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Technology peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 26.0x, ROE of 33.6%, and dividend yield of 1.06%.
Is MSFT a good buy right now?+
At $424.60, MSFT trades 28.0% above our fair value estimate of $305.74. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 33.6% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does MSFT pay dividends?+
MSFT has a dividend yield of 1.06%.
RELATED STOCKS
Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.