OVERVALUEDNASDAQ · Technology

Microsoft Corp.

MSFT

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

29.9%downside

Updated March 11, 2026

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$405.80

FAIR PRICE

$312.38

MARGIN

$93.42

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

35.8x

Sector: 28.5xAbove

Div. Yield

0.72%

Sector: 1.2%Below

ROE

39.2%

Sector: 24.5%Above

Market Cap

$3.02T

Mega-cap

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KEY FACTS

CEO

Satya Nadella

FOUNDED

1975

HEADQUARTERS

Redmond, WA

SECTOR

Technology

EXCHANGE

NASDAQ

METHODOLOGY

How we calculate MSFT's fair price

Microsoft Corp.'s fair price of $312.38 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $405.80, MSFT trades 29.9% above its calculated fair value. The stock's P/E of 35.8x compares to a Technology sector average of 28.5x, representing a premium to peers.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted cash flow analysis based on projected free cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting MSFT's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing MSFT's P/E of 35.8x against the Technology sector average of 28.5x.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for MSFT, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of MSFT?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Microsoft Corp. is $312.38. At the current market price of $405.80, MSFT trades 29.9% above its calculated fair value.

Is MSFT overvalued or undervalued?+

Microsoft Corp. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $405.80, which is 29.9% above the fair price of $312.38. The P/E ratio of 35.8x represents a 25.6% premium to the Technology sector average of 28.5x.

How often is MSFT's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for MSFT daily after market close. The current fair price of $312.38 was last updated on March 11, 2026, incorporating the latest price of $405.80 and sector multiples.

What factors affect MSFT's fair price calculation?+

MSFT's fair price of $312.38 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Technology peers at 28.5x P/E (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 35.8x, ROE of 39.2%, and dividend yield of 0.72%.

Is MSFT a good buy right now?+

At $405.80, MSFT trades 29.9% above our fair value estimate of $312.38. The stock is currently overvalued. P/E of 35.8x compares to sector average of 28.5x. ROE stands at 39.2% (exceptional).

How does MSFT P/E compare to its sector?+

MSFT's P/E ratio of 35.8x is 25.6% higher than the Technology sector average of 28.5x. This represents a premium valuation relative to peers in the sector.

Does MSFT pay dividends?+

MSFT has a dividend yield of 0.72%, which is below the Technology sector average of 1.2%.

What is MSFT's return on equity?+

MSFT has a return on equity (ROE) of 39.2%, which is classified as exceptional. This compares to the Technology sector average ROE of 24.5%, making MSFT's ROE above sector average.

How does MSFT compare to AAPL?+

MSFT trades at 29.9% above fair value with P/E of 35.8x, while AAPL trades at 35.1% above fair value with P/E of 33.2x. MSFT's ROE of 39.2% compares to AAPL's 157.4%.

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