Nvidia
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$208.26
FAIR PRICE
$154.52
MARGIN
$53.74
FPI RATING
Strong profitability and high-quality fundamentals, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$123.62
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
40.6%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $208.26, NVDA trades 40.6% above the conservative entry level of $123.62. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $154.52 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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KEY FACTS
CEO
Jen-Hsun Huang
COUNTRY
US
HEADQUARTERS
Santa Clara
SECTOR
Technology
EXCHANGE
NASDAQ
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate NVDA's fair price
Nvidia's fair price of $154.52 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $208.26, NVDA trades 25.8% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting NVDA's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing NVDA's valuation multiples against Technology peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for NVDA, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of NVDA?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Nvidia is $154.52. At the current market price of $208.26, NVDA trades 25.8% above its calculated fair value.
Is NVDA overvalued or undervalued?+
Nvidia is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $208.26, which is 25.8% above the fair price of $154.52. The P/E ratio of 40.8x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for NVDA?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $154.52, the conservative entry level for NVDA is $123.62. At the current market price of $208.26, the stock trades 40.6% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is NVDA's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for NVDA daily after market close. The current fair price of $154.52 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect NVDA's fair price calculation?+
NVDA's fair price of $154.52 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Technology peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 40.8x, ROE of 104.4%, and dividend yield of 0.02%.
Is NVDA a good buy right now?+
At $208.26, NVDA trades 25.8% above our fair value estimate of $154.52. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 104.4% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does NVDA pay dividends?+
NVDA has a dividend yield of 0.02%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.