Tesla
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$376.30
FAIR PRICE
$203.37
MARGIN
$172.93
FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and low debt levels, but volatile earnings pattern and weak profitability margins.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$162.70
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
56.8%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $376.30, TSLA trades 56.8% above the conservative entry level of $162.70. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $203.37 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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KEY FACTS
CEO
Elon R. Musk
COUNTRY
US
HEADQUARTERS
Austin
SECTOR
Consumer Cyclical
EXCHANGE
NASDAQ
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate TSLA's fair price
Tesla's fair price of $203.37 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $376.30, TSLA trades 46.0% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting TSLA's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing TSLA's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for TSLA, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of TSLA?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Tesla is $203.37. At the current market price of $376.30, TSLA trades 46.0% above its calculated fair value.
Is TSLA overvalued or undervalued?+
Tesla is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $376.30, which is 46.0% above the fair price of $203.37. The P/E ratio of 249.3x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for TSLA?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $203.37, the conservative entry level for TSLA is $162.70. At the current market price of $376.30, the stock trades 56.8% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is TSLA's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for TSLA daily after market close. The current fair price of $203.37 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect TSLA's fair price calculation?+
TSLA's fair price of $203.37 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 249.3x, ROE of 7.0%.
Is TSLA a good buy right now?+
At $376.30, TSLA trades 46.0% above our fair value estimate of $203.37. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 7.0% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does TSLA pay dividends?+
TSLA does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.