Tesla Inc.
TSLA
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated March 11, 2026
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$399.20
FAIR PRICE
$205.76
MARGIN
$193.44
P/E Ratio
162.4x
Div. Yield
0%
ROE
21.3%
Market Cap
$1.28T
Mega-cap
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KEY FACTS
CEO
Elon Musk
FOUNDED
2003
HEADQUARTERS
Austin, TX
SECTOR
Consumer Cyclical
EXCHANGE
NASDAQ
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate TSLA's fair price
Tesla Inc.'s fair price of $205.76 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $399.20, TSLA trades 94.0% above its calculated fair value. The stock's P/E of 162.4x compares to a Consumer Cyclical sector average of 22.1x, representing a premium to peers.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted cash flow analysis based on projected free cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting TSLA's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing TSLA's P/E of 162.4x against the Consumer Cyclical sector average of 22.1x.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for TSLA, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of TSLA?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Tesla Inc. is $205.76. At the current market price of $399.20, TSLA trades 94.0% above its calculated fair value.
Is TSLA overvalued or undervalued?+
Tesla Inc. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $399.20, which is 94.0% above the fair price of $205.76. The P/E ratio of 162.4x represents a 634.8% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector average of 22.1x.
How often is TSLA's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for TSLA daily after market close. The current fair price of $205.76 was last updated on March 11, 2026, incorporating the latest price of $399.20 and sector multiples.
What factors affect TSLA's fair price calculation?+
TSLA's fair price of $205.76 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers at 22.1x P/E (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 162.4x, ROE of 21.3%, and dividend yield of 0%.
Is TSLA a good buy right now?+
At $399.20, TSLA trades 94.0% above our fair value estimate of $205.76. The stock is currently overvalued. P/E of 162.4x compares to sector average of 22.1x. ROE stands at 21.3% (strong).
How does TSLA P/E compare to its sector?+
TSLA's P/E ratio of 162.4x is 634.8% higher than the Consumer Cyclical sector average of 22.1x. This represents a premium valuation relative to peers in the sector.
Does TSLA pay dividends?+
TSLA does not currently pay a dividend. The Consumer Cyclical sector average dividend yield is 1.8%.
What is TSLA's return on equity?+
TSLA has a return on equity (ROE) of 21.3%, which is classified as strong. This compares to the Consumer Cyclical sector average ROE of 18.2%, making TSLA's ROE above sector average.
How does TSLA compare to AAPL?+
TSLA trades at 94.0% above fair value with P/E of 162.4x, while AAPL trades at 35.1% above fair value with P/E of 33.2x. TSLA's ROE of 21.3% compares to AAPL's 157.4%.