McDonald's
MCD is overvalued
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$272.93
MARKET PRICE
$231.11
FAIR PRICE
$41.81
MARGIN
COMMUNITY BUY ZONE
UNLOCKS AT 10
Where does the market buy MCD?
4 investors have set their maximum buying price for MCD. The community zone unlocks at 10.
COMMUNITY MEDIAN
▓▓▓▓▓
BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE
▓▓ %
4/10 INVESTORS · 6 MORE TO UNLOCK
METRICS
NOW AVAILABLE
Get notified when MCD's fair price changes
Push notifications when MCD's valuation shifts. Available on iOS and Android.
FPI RATING
Strong profitability and stable earnings and revenue, but elevated debt levels and expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$184.89
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
32.3%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $272.93, MCD trades 32.3% above the conservative entry level of $184.89. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $231.11 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate MCD's fair price
McDonald's's fair price of $231.11 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $272.93, MCD trades 15.3% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting MCD's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing MCD's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for MCD, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate MCD's fair value with your own inputs.
MCD DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with MCD's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter MCD's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of MCD's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare MCD against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
LEARN MORE
POWERED BY BULIOS
Get full analysis, financials, and AI insights for MCD.
Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of MCD?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for McDonald's is $231.11. At the current market price of $272.93, MCD trades 15.3% above its calculated fair value.
Is MCD overvalued or undervalued?+
McDonald's is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $272.93, which is 15.3% above the fair price of $231.11. The P/E ratio of 22.6x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for MCD?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $231.11, the conservative entry level for MCD is $184.89. At the current market price of $272.93, the stock trades 32.3% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is MCD's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for MCD daily after market close. The current fair price of $231.11 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect MCD's fair price calculation?+
MCD's fair price of $231.11 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 22.6x, and dividend yield of 3.37%.
Is MCD a good buy right now?+
At $272.93, MCD trades 15.3% above our fair value estimate of $231.11. The stock is currently overvalued. Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does MCD pay dividends?+
MCD has a dividend yield of 3.37%.
RELATED STOCKS
Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.