Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$68.74
FAIR PRICE
$55.78
MARGIN
$12.96
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and strong profitability, but volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$44.62
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
35.1%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $68.74, VSOGF trades 35.1% above the conservative entry level of $44.62. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $55.78 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate VSOGF's fair price
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s fair price of $55.78 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $68.74, VSOGF trades 18.9% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting VSOGF's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing VSOGF's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for VSOGF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of VSOGF?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. is $55.78. At the current market price of $68.74, VSOGF trades 18.9% above its calculated fair value.
Is VSOGF overvalued or undervalued?+
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $68.74, which is 18.9% above the fair price of $55.78. The P/E ratio of 10.1x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for VSOGF?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $55.78, the conservative entry level for VSOGF is $44.62. At the current market price of $68.74, the stock trades 35.1% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is VSOGF's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for VSOGF daily after market close. The current fair price of $55.78 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect VSOGF's fair price calculation?+
VSOGF's fair price of $55.78 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 10.1x, ROE of 37.3%.
Is VSOGF a good buy right now?+
At $68.74, VSOGF trades 18.9% above our fair value estimate of $55.78. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 37.3% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does VSOGF pay dividends?+
VSOGF does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.