Universal Music Group N.V.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$20.75
FAIR PRICE
$19.31
MARGIN
$1.44
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FPI RATING
High-quality fundamentals and attractive valuation, but limited growth momentum.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$15.45
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
25.6%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $20.75, UMGNF trades 25.6% above the conservative entry level of $15.45. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $19.31 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate UMGNF's fair price
Universal Music Group N.V.'s fair price of $19.31 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Communication Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $20.75, UMGNF trades 6.9% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting UMGNF's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing UMGNF's valuation multiples against Communication Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for UMGNF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of UMGNF?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Communication Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Universal Music Group N.V. is $19.31. At the current market price of $20.75, UMGNF trades 6.9% above its calculated fair value.
Is UMGNF overvalued or undervalued?+
Universal Music Group N.V. is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $20.75, which is 6.9% above the fair price of $19.31. The P/E ratio of 9.1x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for UMGNF?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $19.31, the conservative entry level for UMGNF is $15.45. At the current market price of $20.75, the stock trades 25.6% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is UMGNF's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for UMGNF daily after market close. The current fair price of $19.31 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect UMGNF's fair price calculation?+
UMGNF's fair price of $19.31 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Communication Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 9.1x, ROE of 89.0%, and dividend yield of 4.44%.
Is UMGNF a good buy right now?+
At $20.75, UMGNF trades 6.9% above our fair value estimate of $19.31. The stock is currently fair. ROE stands at 89.0% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does UMGNF pay dividends?+
UMGNF has a dividend yield of 4.44%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.