UMB Financial Corporation
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$126.23
FAIR PRICE
$80.50
MARGIN
$45.73
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation, but weak profitability margins and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$64.40
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
49.0%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $126.23, UMBF trades 49.0% above the conservative entry level of $64.40. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $80.50 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate UMBF's fair price
UMB Financial Corporation's fair price of $80.50 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $126.23, UMBF trades 36.2% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting UMBF's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing UMBF's valuation multiples against Financial Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for UMBF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of UMBF?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for UMB Financial Corporation is $80.50. At the current market price of $126.23, UMBF trades 36.2% above its calculated fair value.
Is UMBF overvalued or undervalued?+
UMB Financial Corporation is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $126.23, which is 36.2% above the fair price of $80.50. The P/E ratio of 10.9x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for UMBF?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $80.50, the conservative entry level for UMBF is $64.40. At the current market price of $126.23, the stock trades 49.0% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is UMBF's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for UMBF daily after market close. The current fair price of $80.50 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect UMBF's fair price calculation?+
UMBF's fair price of $80.50 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 10.9x, ROE of 11.7%, and dividend yield of 1.34%.
Is UMBF a good buy right now?+
At $126.23, UMBF trades 36.2% above our fair value estimate of $80.50. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 11.7% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does UMBF pay dividends?+
UMBF has a dividend yield of 1.34%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.