HG Holdings, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$4.26
FAIR PRICE
$3.08
MARGIN
$1.18
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and low debt levels, but weak profitability margins and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$2.46
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
42.2%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $4.26, STLY trades 42.2% above the conservative entry level of $2.46. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $3.08 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate STLY's fair price
HG Holdings, Inc.'s fair price of $3.08 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $4.26, STLY trades 27.7% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting STLY's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing STLY's valuation multiples against Financial Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for STLY, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate STLY's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of STLY?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for HG Holdings, Inc. is $3.08. At the current market price of $4.26, STLY trades 27.7% above its calculated fair value.
Is STLY overvalued or undervalued?+
HG Holdings, Inc. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $4.26, which is 27.7% above the fair price of $3.08. The P/E ratio of 10.0x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for STLY?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $3.08, the conservative entry level for STLY is $2.46. At the current market price of $4.26, the stock trades 42.2% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is STLY's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for STLY daily after market close. The current fair price of $3.08 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect STLY's fair price calculation?+
STLY's fair price of $3.08 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 10.0x, ROE of 3.9%.
Is STLY a good buy right now?+
At $4.26, STLY trades 27.7% above our fair value estimate of $3.08. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 3.9% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does STLY pay dividends?+
STLY does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.