San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited

OVERVALUEDSMGLF · OTC · Consumer Defensive
SMGLF·OTC·Consumer Defensive
OVERVALUED
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited
29.4%downside
MARKET PRICE
$0.17
FAIR PRICE
$0.12
MARGIN
$0.05
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
N/A
DIV. YIELD
8.29%
ROE
N/A
MARKET CAP
$498M
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

29.4%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$0.17

FAIR PRICE

$0.12

MARGIN

$0.05

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

N/A

Div. Yield

8.29%

ROE

N/A

Market Cap

$498M

Small-cap

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FPI RATING

3.9/ 10

Low debt levels, but limited growth momentum and weak profitability margins.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$0.10CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$0.12FAIR PRICE
$0.17MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$0.10

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

43.5%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $0.17, SMGLF trades 43.5% above the conservative entry level of $0.10. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $0.12 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate SMGLF's fair price

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited's fair price of $0.12 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $0.17, SMGLF trades 29.4% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting SMGLF's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing SMGLF's valuation multiples against Consumer Defensive peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for SMGLF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate SMGLF's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of SMGLF?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited is $0.12. At the current market price of $0.17, SMGLF trades 29.4% above its calculated fair value.

Is SMGLF overvalued or undervalued?+

San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $0.17, which is 29.4% above the fair price of $0.12.

What is the margin of safety for SMGLF?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $0.12, the conservative entry level for SMGLF is $0.10. At the current market price of $0.17, the stock trades 43.5% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is SMGLF's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for SMGLF daily after market close. The current fair price of $0.12 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect SMGLF's fair price calculation?+

SMGLF's fair price of $0.12 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., and dividend yield of 8.29%.

Is SMGLF a good buy right now?+

At $0.17, SMGLF trades 29.4% above our fair value estimate of $0.12. The stock is currently overvalued. Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does SMGLF pay dividends?+

SMGLF has a dividend yield of 8.29%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.