Oak Valley Bancorp
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$33.08
FAIR PRICE
$40.89
MARGIN
$7.81
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and high-quality fundamentals, but volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$32.71
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
1.1%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $33.08, OVLY trades 1.1% above the conservative entry level of $32.71. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $40.89 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate OVLY's fair price
Oak Valley Bancorp's fair price of $40.89 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $33.08, OVLY trades 23.6% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting OVLY's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing OVLY's valuation multiples against Financial Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for OVLY, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate OVLY's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of OVLY?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Oak Valley Bancorp is $40.89. At the current market price of $33.08, OVLY trades 23.6% below its calculated fair value.
Is OVLY overvalued or undervalued?+
Oak Valley Bancorp is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $33.08, which is 23.6% below the fair price of $40.89. The P/E ratio of 11.5x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for OVLY?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $40.89, the conservative entry level for OVLY is $32.71. At the current market price of $33.08, the stock trades 1.1% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is OVLY's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for OVLY daily after market close. The current fair price of $40.89 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect OVLY's fair price calculation?+
OVLY's fair price of $40.89 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 11.5x, ROE of 9.2%, and dividend yield of 2.04%.
Is OVLY a good buy right now?+
At $33.08, OVLY trades 23.6% below our fair value estimate of $40.89. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 9.2% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does OVLY pay dividends?+
OVLY has a dividend yield of 2.04%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.