Ottawa Bancorp, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$15.40
FAIR PRICE
$14.26
MARGIN
$1.14
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FPI RATING
Stable earnings and revenue, but below-average fundamental quality and weak profitability margins.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$11.41
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
25.9%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $15.40, OTTW trades 25.9% above the conservative entry level of $11.41. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $14.26 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate OTTW's fair price
Ottawa Bancorp, Inc.'s fair price of $14.26 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $15.40, OTTW trades 7.4% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting OTTW's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing OTTW's valuation multiples against Financial Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for OTTW, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of OTTW?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Ottawa Bancorp, Inc. is $14.26. At the current market price of $15.40, OTTW trades 7.4% above its calculated fair value.
Is OTTW overvalued or undervalued?+
Ottawa Bancorp, Inc. is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $15.40, which is 7.4% above the fair price of $14.26. The P/E ratio of 19.5x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for OTTW?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $14.26, the conservative entry level for OTTW is $11.41. At the current market price of $15.40, the stock trades 25.9% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is OTTW's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for OTTW daily after market close. The current fair price of $14.26 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect OTTW's fair price calculation?+
OTTW's fair price of $14.26 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 19.5x, ROE of 4.5%, and dividend yield of 2.86%.
Is OTTW a good buy right now?+
At $15.40, OTTW trades 7.4% above our fair value estimate of $14.26. The stock is currently fair. ROE stands at 4.5% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does OTTW pay dividends?+
OTTW has a dividend yield of 2.86%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.