Optex Systems Holdings, Inc
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$10.70
FAIR PRICE
$15.49
MARGIN
$4.79
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FPI RATING
High-quality fundamentals and attractive valuation, but volatile earnings pattern and limited growth momentum.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$12.39
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
15.8%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $10.70, OPXS trades 15.8% below the conservative entry level of $12.39. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate OPXS's fair price
Optex Systems Holdings, Inc's fair price of $15.49 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $10.70, OPXS trades 44.8% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting OPXS's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing OPXS's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for OPXS, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of OPXS?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Optex Systems Holdings, Inc is $15.49. At the current market price of $10.70, OPXS trades 44.8% below its calculated fair value.
Is OPXS overvalued or undervalued?+
Optex Systems Holdings, Inc is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $10.70, which is 44.8% below the fair price of $15.49. The P/E ratio of 16.3x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for OPXS?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $15.49, the conservative entry level for OPXS is $12.39. At the current market price of $10.70, the stock trades 15.8% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is OPXS's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for OPXS daily after market close. The current fair price of $15.49 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect OPXS's fair price calculation?+
OPXS's fair price of $15.49 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 16.3x, ROE of 41.7%.
Is OPXS a good buy right now?+
At $10.70, OPXS trades 44.8% below our fair value estimate of $15.49. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 41.7% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does OPXS pay dividends?+
OPXS does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.