National Express Group PLC
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$0.31
FAIR PRICE
$0.46
MARGIN
$0.15
P/E Ratio
N/A
Div. Yield
N/A
ROE
-521.2%
Average
Market Cap
$140M
Small-cap
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FPI RATING
Challenges include volatile earnings pattern and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$0.37
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
18.7%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $0.31, NXPGF trades 18.7% below the conservative entry level of $0.37. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate NXPGF's fair price
National Express Group PLC's fair price of $0.46 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $0.31, NXPGF trades 48.4% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting NXPGF's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing NXPGF's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for NXPGF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of NXPGF?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for National Express Group PLC is $0.46. At the current market price of $0.31, NXPGF trades 48.4% below its calculated fair value.
Is NXPGF overvalued or undervalued?+
National Express Group PLC is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $0.31, which is 48.4% below the fair price of $0.46.
What is the margin of safety for NXPGF?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $0.46, the conservative entry level for NXPGF is $0.37. At the current market price of $0.31, the stock trades 18.7% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is NXPGF's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for NXPGF daily after market close. The current fair price of $0.46 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect NXPGF's fair price calculation?+
NXPGF's fair price of $0.46 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of -521.2%.
Is NXPGF a good buy right now?+
At $0.31, NXPGF trades 48.4% below our fair value estimate of $0.46. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at -521.2% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does NXPGF pay dividends?+
NXPGF does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.