North American Construction Group
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$14.40
FAIR PRICE
$7.67
MARGIN
$6.73
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FPI RATING
Stable earnings and revenue and consistent growth trajectory, but below-average fundamental quality and elevated debt levels.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$6.14
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
57.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $14.40, NOA trades 57.4% above the conservative entry level of $6.14. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $7.67 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate NOA's fair price
North American Construction Group's fair price of $7.67 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $14.40, NOA trades 46.7% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting NOA's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing NOA's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for NOA, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate NOA's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of NOA?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for North American Construction Group is $7.67. At the current market price of $14.40, NOA trades 46.7% above its calculated fair value.
Is NOA overvalued or undervalued?+
North American Construction Group is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $14.40, which is 46.7% above the fair price of $7.67. The P/E ratio of 18.0x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for NOA?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $7.67, the conservative entry level for NOA is $6.14. At the current market price of $14.40, the stock trades 57.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is NOA's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for NOA daily after market close. The current fair price of $7.67 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect NOA's fair price calculation?+
NOA's fair price of $7.67 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 18.0x, ROE of 7.9%, and dividend yield of 2.37%.
Is NOA a good buy right now?+
At $14.40, NOA trades 46.7% above our fair value estimate of $7.67. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 7.9% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does NOA pay dividends?+
NOA has a dividend yield of 2.37%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.