Nitori Holdings Co., Ltd.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$7.22
FAIR PRICE
$4.54
MARGIN
$2.68
NOW AVAILABLE
Get notified when NCLTY's fair price changes
Push notifications when NCLTY's valuation shifts. Available on iOS and Android.
FPI RATING
Low debt levels, but below-average fundamental quality and expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$3.63
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
49.7%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $7.22, NCLTY trades 49.7% above the conservative entry level of $3.63. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $4.54 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
Loading chart data...
P/E RATIO HISTORY
Loading chart data...
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate NCLTY's fair price
Nitori Holdings Co., Ltd.'s fair price of $4.54 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $7.22, NCLTY trades 37.2% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting NCLTY's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing NCLTY's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for NCLTY, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate NCLTY's fair value with your own inputs.
LEARN MORE
POWERED BY BULIOS
Get full analysis, financials, and AI insights for NCLTY.
Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of NCLTY?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Nitori Holdings Co., Ltd. is $4.54. At the current market price of $7.22, NCLTY trades 37.2% above its calculated fair value.
Is NCLTY overvalued or undervalued?+
Nitori Holdings Co., Ltd. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $7.22, which is 37.2% above the fair price of $4.54. The P/E ratio of 35.0x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for NCLTY?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $4.54, the conservative entry level for NCLTY is $3.63. At the current market price of $7.22, the stock trades 49.7% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is NCLTY's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for NCLTY daily after market close. The current fair price of $4.54 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect NCLTY's fair price calculation?+
NCLTY's fair price of $4.54 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 35.0x, ROE of 9.9%.
Is NCLTY a good buy right now?+
At $7.22, NCLTY trades 37.2% above our fair value estimate of $4.54. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 9.9% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does NCLTY pay dividends?+
NCLTY does not currently pay a dividend.
RELATED STOCKS
Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.