Middlefield Banc Corp.

UNDERVALUEDMBCN · NASDAQ · Financial Services
MBCN·NASDAQ·Financial Services
UNDERVALUED
Middlefield Banc Corp.
51.6%upside
MARKET PRICE
$33.67
FAIR PRICE
$51.03
MARGIN
$17.36
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
14.1x
DIV. YIELD
2.49%
ROE
3.4%
MARKET CAP
$274M
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

51.6%upside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$33.67

FAIR PRICE

$51.03

MARGIN

$17.36

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

14.1x

What is P/E? →

Div. Yield

2.49%

ROE

3.4%

Average

Market Cap

$274M

Small-cap

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FPI RATING

3.9/ 10

Low debt levels, but below-average fundamental quality and volatile earnings pattern.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$40.82CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$51.03FAIR PRICE
$33.67MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$40.82

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

21.2%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $33.67, MBCN trades 21.2% below the conservative entry level of $40.82. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate MBCN's fair price

Middlefield Banc Corp.'s fair price of $51.03 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $33.67, MBCN trades 51.6% below its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting MBCN's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing MBCN's valuation multiples against Financial Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for MBCN, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate MBCN's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of MBCN?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Middlefield Banc Corp. is $51.03. At the current market price of $33.67, MBCN trades 51.6% below its calculated fair value.

Is MBCN overvalued or undervalued?+

Middlefield Banc Corp. is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $33.67, which is 51.6% below the fair price of $51.03. The P/E ratio of 14.1x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for MBCN?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $51.03, the conservative entry level for MBCN is $40.82. At the current market price of $33.67, the stock trades 21.2% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is MBCN's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for MBCN daily after market close. The current fair price of $51.03 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect MBCN's fair price calculation?+

MBCN's fair price of $51.03 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 14.1x, ROE of 3.4%, and dividend yield of 2.49%.

Is MBCN a good buy right now?+

At $33.67, MBCN trades 51.6% below our fair value estimate of $51.03. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 3.4% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does MBCN pay dividends?+

MBCN has a dividend yield of 2.49%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.