El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
LOCO is fairly valued
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$15.06
MARKET PRICE
$16.51
FAIR PRICE
$1.45
MARGIN
COMMUNITY BUY ZONE
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COMMUNITY MEDIAN
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BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE
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MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$13.21
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
12.3%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $15.06, LOCO trades 12.3% above the conservative entry level of $13.21. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $16.51 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate LOCO's fair price
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s fair price of $16.51 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $15.06, LOCO trades 9.6% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting LOCO's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing LOCO's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for LOCO, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate LOCO's fair value with your own inputs.
LOCO DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with LOCO's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter LOCO's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of LOCO's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare LOCO against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
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What is the fair price of LOCO?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. is $16.51. At the current market price of $15.06, LOCO trades 9.6% below its calculated fair value.
Is LOCO overvalued or undervalued?+
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $15.06, which is 9.6% below the fair price of $16.51.
What is the margin of safety for LOCO?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $16.51, the conservative entry level for LOCO is $13.21. At the current market price of $15.06, the stock trades 12.3% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is LOCO's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for LOCO daily after market close. The current fair price of $16.51 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect LOCO's fair price calculation?+
LOCO's fair price of $16.51 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)..
Is LOCO a good buy right now?+
At $15.06, LOCO trades 9.6% below our fair value estimate of $16.51. The stock is currently fair. Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does LOCO pay dividends?+
LOCO does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.