Heartland Express, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$13.25
FAIR PRICE
$17.25
MARGIN
$4.00
P/E Ratio
N/A
Div. Yield
0.60%
ROE
-4.9%
Average
Market Cap
$1B
Small-cap
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory, but volatile earnings pattern and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$13.80
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
4.2%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $13.25, HTLD trades 4.2% below the conservative entry level of $13.80. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate HTLD's fair price
Heartland Express, Inc.'s fair price of $17.25 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $13.25, HTLD trades 30.2% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting HTLD's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing HTLD's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for HTLD, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of HTLD?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Heartland Express, Inc. is $17.25. At the current market price of $13.25, HTLD trades 30.2% below its calculated fair value.
Is HTLD overvalued or undervalued?+
Heartland Express, Inc. is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $13.25, which is 30.2% below the fair price of $17.25.
What is the margin of safety for HTLD?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $17.25, the conservative entry level for HTLD is $13.80. At the current market price of $13.25, the stock trades 4.2% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is HTLD's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for HTLD daily after market close. The current fair price of $17.25 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect HTLD's fair price calculation?+
HTLD's fair price of $17.25 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of -4.9%, and dividend yield of 0.60%.
Is HTLD a good buy right now?+
At $13.25, HTLD trades 30.2% below our fair value estimate of $17.25. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at -4.9% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does HTLD pay dividends?+
HTLD has a dividend yield of 0.60%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.