Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$324.38
FAIR PRICE
$240.90
MARGIN
$83.48
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and low debt levels, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$192.72
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
40.6%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $324.38, HLT trades 40.6% above the conservative entry level of $192.72. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $240.90 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate HLT's fair price
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s fair price of $240.90 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $324.38, HLT trades 25.7% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting HLT's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing HLT's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for HLT, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate HLT's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of HLT?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is $240.90. At the current market price of $324.38, HLT trades 25.7% above its calculated fair value.
Is HLT overvalued or undervalued?+
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $324.38, which is 25.7% above the fair price of $240.90. The P/E ratio of 51.4x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for HLT?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $240.90, the conservative entry level for HLT is $192.72. At the current market price of $324.38, the stock trades 40.6% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is HLT's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for HLT daily after market close. The current fair price of $240.90 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect HLT's fair price calculation?+
HLT's fair price of $240.90 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 51.4x, ROE of -41.9%, and dividend yield of 0.19%.
Is HLT a good buy right now?+
At $324.38, HLT trades 25.7% above our fair value estimate of $240.90. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at -41.9% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does HLT pay dividends?+
HLT has a dividend yield of 0.19%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.