Horizon Group Properties, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$2.20
FAIR PRICE
$3.25
MARGIN
$1.05
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FPI RATING
Low debt levels and attractive valuation, but limited growth momentum and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$2.60
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
18.2%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $2.20, HGPI trades 18.2% below the conservative entry level of $2.60. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate HGPI's fair price
Horizon Group Properties, Inc.'s fair price of $3.25 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $2.20, HGPI trades 47.7% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting HGPI's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing HGPI's valuation multiples against Real Estate peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for HGPI, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate HGPI's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of HGPI?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Horizon Group Properties, Inc. is $3.25. At the current market price of $2.20, HGPI trades 47.7% below its calculated fair value.
Is HGPI overvalued or undervalued?+
Horizon Group Properties, Inc. is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $2.20, which is 47.7% below the fair price of $3.25. The P/E ratio of 3.1x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for HGPI?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $3.25, the conservative entry level for HGPI is $2.60. At the current market price of $2.20, the stock trades 18.2% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is HGPI's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for HGPI daily after market close. The current fair price of $3.25 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect HGPI's fair price calculation?+
HGPI's fair price of $3.25 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 3.1x.
Is HGPI a good buy right now?+
At $2.20, HGPI trades 47.7% below our fair value estimate of $3.25. The stock is currently undervalued. Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does HGPI pay dividends?+
HGPI does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.