Green Brick Partners, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$22.38
FAIR PRICE
$57.62
MARGIN
$35.24
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and low debt levels, but volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$46.10
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
106.0%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $22.38, GRBK-PA trades 106.0% below the conservative entry level of $46.10. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate GRBK-PA's fair price
Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s fair price of $57.62 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $22.38, GRBK-PA trades 157.5% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting GRBK-PA's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing GRBK-PA's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for GRBK-PA, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of GRBK-PA?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Green Brick Partners, Inc. is $57.62. At the current market price of $22.38, GRBK-PA trades 157.5% below its calculated fair value.
Is GRBK-PA overvalued or undervalued?+
Green Brick Partners, Inc. is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $22.38, which is 157.5% below the fair price of $57.62. The P/E ratio of 3.2x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for GRBK-PA?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $57.62, the conservative entry level for GRBK-PA is $46.10. At the current market price of $22.38, the stock trades 106.0% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is GRBK-PA's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for GRBK-PA daily after market close. The current fair price of $57.62 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect GRBK-PA's fair price calculation?+
GRBK-PA's fair price of $57.62 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 3.2x, ROE of 17.7%, and dividend yield of 8.03%.
Is GRBK-PA a good buy right now?+
At $22.38, GRBK-PA trades 157.5% below our fair value estimate of $57.62. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 17.7% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does GRBK-PA pay dividends?+
GRBK-PA has a dividend yield of 8.03%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.