Alphabet

GOOG is overvalued

NASDAQ · Communication Services

FAIR PRICE

25.0%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

$319.09

MARKET PRICE

$239.19

FAIR PRICE

$79.90

MARGIN

UNDERFAIROVER

COMMUNITY BUY ZONE

ZONE LIVE · APP ONLY

Where does the market buy GOOG?

20 investors have set their maximum buying price for GOOG. The community median and buy zone are live — in the Fair Price Index app.

COMMUNITY MEDIAN

▓▓▓▓▓

BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE

▓▓ %

METRICS

P/E29.1
P/B9.3
P/S9.6
PEG0.91
DIV YIELD0.27%
ROE29.3%
ROIC21.8%
DEBT/EQ0.14
MKT CAP$3.85T

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FPI RATING

8.3/ 10

Strong profitability and low debt levels, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$191.35CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$239.19FAIR PRICE
$319.09MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$191.35

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

40.0%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $319.09, GOOG trades 40.0% above the conservative entry level of $191.35. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $239.19 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

P/E RATIO HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

METHODOLOGY

How we calculate GOOG's fair price

Alphabet's fair price of $239.19 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Communication Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $319.09, GOOG trades 25.0% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting GOOG's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing GOOG's valuation multiples against Communication Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for GOOG, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of GOOG?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Communication Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Alphabet is $239.19. At the current market price of $319.09, GOOG trades 25.0% above its calculated fair value.

Is GOOG overvalued or undervalued?+

Alphabet is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $319.09, which is 25.0% above the fair price of $239.19. The P/E ratio of 29.1x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for GOOG?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $239.19, the conservative entry level for GOOG is $191.35. At the current market price of $319.09, the stock trades 40.0% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is GOOG's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for GOOG daily after market close. The current fair price of $239.19 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect GOOG's fair price calculation?+

GOOG's fair price of $239.19 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Communication Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 29.1x, ROE of 29.3%, and dividend yield of 0.27%.

Is GOOG a good buy right now?+

At $319.09, GOOG trades 25.0% above our fair value estimate of $239.19. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 29.3% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does GOOG pay dividends?+

GOOG has a dividend yield of 0.27%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.