Forward Air Corporation
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$21.76
FAIR PRICE
$16.46
MARGIN
$5.30
P/E Ratio
N/A
Div. Yield
N/A
ROE
-77.1%
Average
Market Cap
$679M
Small-cap
NOW AVAILABLE
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FPI RATING
Challenges include volatile earnings pattern and expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$13.17
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
39.5%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $21.76, FWRD trades 39.5% above the conservative entry level of $13.17. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $16.46 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate FWRD's fair price
Forward Air Corporation's fair price of $16.46 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $21.76, FWRD trades 24.4% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting FWRD's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing FWRD's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for FWRD, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of FWRD?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Forward Air Corporation is $16.46. At the current market price of $21.76, FWRD trades 24.4% above its calculated fair value.
Is FWRD overvalued or undervalued?+
Forward Air Corporation is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $21.76, which is 24.4% above the fair price of $16.46.
What is the margin of safety for FWRD?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $16.46, the conservative entry level for FWRD is $13.17. At the current market price of $21.76, the stock trades 39.5% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is FWRD's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for FWRD daily after market close. The current fair price of $16.46 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect FWRD's fair price calculation?+
FWRD's fair price of $16.46 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of -77.1%.
Is FWRD a good buy right now?+
At $21.76, FWRD trades 24.4% above our fair value estimate of $16.46. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at -77.1% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does FWRD pay dividends?+
FWRD does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.