Fortescue Metals Group Limited
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$13.05
FAIR PRICE
$14.57
MARGIN
$1.52
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and high-quality fundamentals, but volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$11.66
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
10.7%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $13.05, FSUMF trades 10.7% above the conservative entry level of $11.66. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $14.57 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate FSUMF's fair price
Fortescue Metals Group Limited's fair price of $14.57 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $13.05, FSUMF trades 11.6% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting FSUMF's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing FSUMF's valuation multiples against Basic Materials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for FSUMF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of FSUMF?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Fortescue Metals Group Limited is $14.57. At the current market price of $13.05, FSUMF trades 11.6% below its calculated fair value.
Is FSUMF overvalued or undervalued?+
Fortescue Metals Group Limited is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $13.05, which is 11.6% below the fair price of $14.57. The P/E ratio of 5.0x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for FSUMF?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $14.57, the conservative entry level for FSUMF is $11.66. At the current market price of $13.05, the stock trades 10.7% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is FSUMF's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for FSUMF daily after market close. The current fair price of $14.57 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect FSUMF's fair price calculation?+
FSUMF's fair price of $14.57 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 5.0x, ROE of 47.0%, and dividend yield of 5.61%.
Is FSUMF a good buy right now?+
At $13.05, FSUMF trades 11.6% below our fair value estimate of $14.57. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 47.0% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does FSUMF pay dividends?+
FSUMF has a dividend yield of 5.61%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.