First Northern Community Bancorp
FNRN is overvalued
NASDAQ · Financial Services
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$16.68
MARKET PRICE
$8.52
FAIR PRICE
$8.16
MARGIN
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MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$6.82
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
59.1%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $16.68, FNRN trades 59.1% above the conservative entry level of $6.82. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $8.52 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate FNRN's fair price
First Northern Community Bancorp's fair price of $8.52 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $16.68, FNRN trades 48.9% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting FNRN's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing FNRN's valuation multiples against Financial Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for FNRN, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate FNRN's fair value with your own inputs.
FNRN DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with FNRN's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter FNRN's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of FNRN's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare FNRN against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
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What is the fair price of FNRN?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for First Northern Community Bancorp is $8.52. At the current market price of $16.68, FNRN trades 48.9% above its calculated fair value.
Is FNRN overvalued or undervalued?+
First Northern Community Bancorp is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $16.68, which is 48.9% above the fair price of $8.52.
What is the margin of safety for FNRN?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $8.52, the conservative entry level for FNRN is $6.82. At the current market price of $16.68, the stock trades 59.1% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is FNRN's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for FNRN daily after market close. The current fair price of $8.52 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect FNRN's fair price calculation?+
FNRN's fair price of $8.52 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)..
Is FNRN a good buy right now?+
At $16.68, FNRN trades 48.9% above our fair value estimate of $8.52. The stock is currently overvalued. Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does FNRN pay dividends?+
FNRN does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.