FirstGroup plc
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$2.50
FAIR PRICE
$3.70
MARGIN
$1.20
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation, but volatile earnings pattern and elevated debt levels.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$2.96
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
18.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $2.50, FGROY trades 18.4% below the conservative entry level of $2.96. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate FGROY's fair price
FirstGroup plc's fair price of $3.70 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $2.50, FGROY trades 48.0% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting FGROY's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing FGROY's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for FGROY, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of FGROY?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for FirstGroup plc is $3.70. At the current market price of $2.50, FGROY trades 48.0% below its calculated fair value.
Is FGROY overvalued or undervalued?+
FirstGroup plc is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $2.50, which is 48.0% below the fair price of $3.70. The P/E ratio of 9.7x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for FGROY?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $3.70, the conservative entry level for FGROY is $2.96. At the current market price of $2.50, the stock trades 18.4% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is FGROY's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for FGROY daily after market close. The current fair price of $3.70 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect FGROY's fair price calculation?+
FGROY's fair price of $3.70 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 9.7x, ROE of 17.8%, and dividend yield of 3.53%.
Is FGROY a good buy right now?+
At $2.50, FGROY trades 48.0% below our fair value estimate of $3.70. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 17.8% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does FGROY pay dividends?+
FGROY has a dividend yield of 3.53%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.