Expeditors International of Washington
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$147.93
FAIR PRICE
$108.36
MARGIN
$39.57
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FPI RATING
High-quality fundamentals and low debt levels, but weak profitability margins and expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$86.69
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
41.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $147.93, EXPD trades 41.4% above the conservative entry level of $86.69. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $108.36 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate EXPD's fair price
Expeditors International of Washington's fair price of $108.36 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $147.93, EXPD trades 26.7% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting EXPD's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing EXPD's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for EXPD, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of EXPD?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Expeditors International of Washington is $108.36. At the current market price of $147.93, EXPD trades 26.7% above its calculated fair value.
Is EXPD overvalued or undervalued?+
Expeditors International of Washington is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $147.93, which is 26.7% above the fair price of $108.36. The P/E ratio of 25.1x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for EXPD?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $108.36, the conservative entry level for EXPD is $86.69. At the current market price of $147.93, the stock trades 41.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is EXPD's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for EXPD daily after market close. The current fair price of $108.36 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect EXPD's fair price calculation?+
EXPD's fair price of $108.36 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 25.1x, ROE of 35.6%, and dividend yield of 1.03%.
Is EXPD a good buy right now?+
At $147.93, EXPD trades 26.7% above our fair value estimate of $108.36. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 35.6% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does EXPD pay dividends?+
EXPD has a dividend yield of 1.03%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.