Ellington Financial Inc.
EFC-PD is undervalued
NYSE · Real Estate
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$23.38
MARKET PRICE
$41.61
FAIR PRICE
$18.23
MARGIN
COMMUNITY BUY ZONE
UNLOCKS AT 10
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COMMUNITY MEDIAN
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BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and attractive valuation, but volatile earnings pattern and elevated debt levels.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$33.29
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
42.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $23.38, EFC-PD trades 42.4% below the conservative entry level of $33.29. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate EFC-PD's fair price
Ellington Financial Inc.'s fair price of $41.61 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $23.38, EFC-PD trades 77.9% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting EFC-PD's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing EFC-PD's valuation multiples against Real Estate peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for EFC-PD, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate EFC-PD's fair value with your own inputs.
EFC-PD DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with EFC-PD's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter EFC-PD's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of EFC-PD's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare EFC-PD against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
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Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of EFC-PD?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Ellington Financial Inc. is $41.61. At the current market price of $23.38, EFC-PD trades 77.9% below its calculated fair value.
Is EFC-PD overvalued or undervalued?+
Ellington Financial Inc. is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $23.38, which is 77.9% below the fair price of $41.61. The P/E ratio of 11.5x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for EFC-PD?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $41.61, the conservative entry level for EFC-PD is $33.29. At the current market price of $23.38, the stock trades 42.4% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is EFC-PD's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for EFC-PD daily after market close. The current fair price of $41.61 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect EFC-PD's fair price calculation?+
EFC-PD's fair price of $41.61 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 11.5x, ROE of 11.9%, and dividend yield of 7.35%.
Is EFC-PD a good buy right now?+
At $23.38, EFC-PD trades 77.9% below our fair value estimate of $41.61. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 11.9% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does EFC-PD pay dividends?+
EFC-PD has a dividend yield of 7.35%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.