HF Sinclair Corporation
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$66.74
FAIR PRICE
$81.69
MARGIN
$14.95
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and low debt levels, but below-average fundamental quality and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$65.35
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
2.1%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $66.74, DINO trades 2.1% above the conservative entry level of $65.35. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $81.69 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate DINO's fair price
HF Sinclair Corporation's fair price of $81.69 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $66.74, DINO trades 22.4% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting DINO's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing DINO's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for DINO, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate DINO's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of DINO?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for HF Sinclair Corporation is $81.69. At the current market price of $66.74, DINO trades 22.4% below its calculated fair value.
Is DINO overvalued or undervalued?+
HF Sinclair Corporation is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $66.74, which is 22.4% below the fair price of $81.69. The P/E ratio of 30.1x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for DINO?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $81.69, the conservative entry level for DINO is $65.35. At the current market price of $66.74, the stock trades 2.1% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is DINO's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for DINO daily after market close. The current fair price of $81.69 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect DINO's fair price calculation?+
DINO's fair price of $81.69 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 30.1x, ROE of 4.2%, and dividend yield of 3.19%.
Is DINO a good buy right now?+
At $66.74, DINO trades 22.4% below our fair value estimate of $81.69. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 4.2% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does DINO pay dividends?+
DINO has a dividend yield of 3.19%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.