Deutsche Post AG
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$29.63
FAIR PRICE
$26.89
MARGIN
$2.74
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation, but elevated debt levels and weak profitability margins.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$21.51
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
27.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $29.63, DHLGY trades 27.4% above the conservative entry level of $21.51. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $26.89 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate DHLGY's fair price
Deutsche Post AG's fair price of $26.89 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $29.63, DHLGY trades 9.2% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting DHLGY's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing DHLGY's valuation multiples against Industrials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for DHLGY, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of DHLGY?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Deutsche Post AG is $26.89. At the current market price of $29.63, DHLGY trades 9.2% above its calculated fair value.
Is DHLGY overvalued or undervalued?+
Deutsche Post AG is currently fair based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $29.63, which is 9.2% above the fair price of $26.89. The P/E ratio of 7.4x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for DHLGY?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $26.89, the conservative entry level for DHLGY is $21.51. At the current market price of $29.63, the stock trades 27.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is DHLGY's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for DHLGY daily after market close. The current fair price of $26.89 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect DHLGY's fair price calculation?+
DHLGY's fair price of $26.89 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Industrials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 7.4x, ROE of 15.8%, and dividend yield of 10.50%.
Is DHLGY a good buy right now?+
At $29.63, DHLGY trades 9.2% above our fair value estimate of $26.89. The stock is currently fair. ROE stands at 15.8% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does DHLGY pay dividends?+
DHLGY has a dividend yield of 10.50%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.