Cenovus Energy Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$28.94
FAIR PRICE
$40.58
MARGIN
$11.64
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and low debt levels, but weak profitability margins and expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$32.46
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
12.2%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $28.94, CVE trades 12.2% below the conservative entry level of $32.46. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate CVE's fair price
Cenovus Energy Inc.'s fair price of $40.58 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $28.94, CVE trades 40.2% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting CVE's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing CVE's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for CVE, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate CVE's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of CVE?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Cenovus Energy Inc. is $40.58. At the current market price of $28.94, CVE trades 40.2% below its calculated fair value.
Is CVE overvalued or undervalued?+
Cenovus Energy Inc. is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $28.94, which is 40.2% below the fair price of $40.58. The P/E ratio of 17.5x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for CVE?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $40.58, the conservative entry level for CVE is $32.46. At the current market price of $28.94, the stock trades 12.2% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is CVE's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for CVE daily after market close. The current fair price of $40.58 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect CVE's fair price calculation?+
CVE's fair price of $40.58 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 17.5x, ROE of 13.2%, and dividend yield of 2.11%.
Is CVE a good buy right now?+
At $28.94, CVE trades 40.2% below our fair value estimate of $40.58. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 13.2% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does CVE pay dividends?+
CVE has a dividend yield of 2.11%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.