China Oriental Group Company Limited
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$4.20
FAIR PRICE
$2.87
MARGIN
$1.33
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation, but limited growth momentum and elevated debt levels.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$2.30
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
45.3%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $4.20, CUGCY trades 45.3% above the conservative entry level of $2.30. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $2.87 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate CUGCY's fair price
China Oriental Group Company Limited's fair price of $2.87 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $4.20, CUGCY trades 31.7% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting CUGCY's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing CUGCY's valuation multiples against Basic Materials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for CUGCY, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of CUGCY?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for China Oriental Group Company Limited is $2.87. At the current market price of $4.20, CUGCY trades 31.7% above its calculated fair value.
Is CUGCY overvalued or undervalued?+
China Oriental Group Company Limited is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $4.20, which is 31.7% above the fair price of $2.87. The P/E ratio of 35.9x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for CUGCY?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $2.87, the conservative entry level for CUGCY is $2.30. At the current market price of $4.20, the stock trades 45.3% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is CUGCY's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for CUGCY daily after market close. The current fair price of $2.87 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect CUGCY's fair price calculation?+
CUGCY's fair price of $2.87 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 35.9x, and dividend yield of 3.89%.
Is CUGCY a good buy right now?+
At $4.20, CUGCY trades 31.7% above our fair value estimate of $2.87. The stock is currently overvalued. Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does CUGCY pay dividends?+
CUGCY has a dividend yield of 3.89%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.