Confluent
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$30.99
FAIR PRICE
$20.02
MARGIN
$10.97
P/E Ratio
N/A
Div. Yield
N/A
ROE
-27.0%
Average
Market Cap
$11B
Large-cap
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory, but weak profitability margins and expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$16.02
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
48.3%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $30.99, CFLT trades 48.3% above the conservative entry level of $16.02. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $20.02 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate CFLT's fair price
Confluent's fair price of $20.02 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $30.99, CFLT trades 35.4% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting CFLT's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing CFLT's valuation multiples against Technology peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for CFLT, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of CFLT?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Confluent is $20.02. At the current market price of $30.99, CFLT trades 35.4% above its calculated fair value.
Is CFLT overvalued or undervalued?+
Confluent is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $30.99, which is 35.4% above the fair price of $20.02.
What is the margin of safety for CFLT?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $20.02, the conservative entry level for CFLT is $16.02. At the current market price of $30.99, the stock trades 48.3% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is CFLT's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for CFLT daily after market close. The current fair price of $20.02 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect CFLT's fair price calculation?+
CFLT's fair price of $20.02 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Technology peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., ROE of -27.0%.
Is CFLT a good buy right now?+
At $30.99, CFLT trades 35.4% above our fair value estimate of $20.02. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at -27.0% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does CFLT pay dividends?+
CFLT does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.