Headwater Exploration Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$9.79
FAIR PRICE
$7.03
MARGIN
$2.76
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and consistent growth trajectory, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$5.62
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
42.5%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $9.79, CDDRF trades 42.5% above the conservative entry level of $5.62. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $7.03 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate CDDRF's fair price
Headwater Exploration Inc.'s fair price of $7.03 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $9.79, CDDRF trades 28.2% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting CDDRF's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing CDDRF's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for CDDRF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of CDDRF?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Headwater Exploration Inc. is $7.03. At the current market price of $9.79, CDDRF trades 28.2% above its calculated fair value.
Is CDDRF overvalued or undervalued?+
Headwater Exploration Inc. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $9.79, which is 28.2% above the fair price of $7.03. The P/E ratio of 22.3x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for CDDRF?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $7.03, the conservative entry level for CDDRF is $5.62. At the current market price of $9.79, the stock trades 42.5% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is CDDRF's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for CDDRF daily after market close. The current fair price of $7.03 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect CDDRF's fair price calculation?+
CDDRF's fair price of $7.03 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 22.3x, ROE of 20.8%, and dividend yield of 3.26%.
Is CDDRF a good buy right now?+
At $9.79, CDDRF trades 28.2% above our fair value estimate of $7.03. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 20.8% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does CDDRF pay dividends?+
CDDRF has a dividend yield of 3.26%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.