Blackstone Mortgage Trust
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$19.07
FAIR PRICE
$29.52
MARGIN
$10.45
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation and consistent growth trajectory, but below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$23.62
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
23.8%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $19.07, BXMT trades 23.8% below the conservative entry level of $23.62. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate BXMT's fair price
Blackstone Mortgage Trust's fair price of $29.52 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $19.07, BXMT trades 54.8% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting BXMT's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing BXMT's valuation multiples against Real Estate peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for BXMT, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate BXMT's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of BXMT?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Blackstone Mortgage Trust is $29.52. At the current market price of $19.07, BXMT trades 54.8% below its calculated fair value.
Is BXMT overvalued or undervalued?+
Blackstone Mortgage Trust is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $19.07, which is 54.8% below the fair price of $29.52. The P/E ratio of 31.2x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for BXMT?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $29.52, the conservative entry level for BXMT is $23.62. At the current market price of $19.07, the stock trades 23.8% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is BXMT's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for BXMT daily after market close. The current fair price of $29.52 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect BXMT's fair price calculation?+
BXMT's fair price of $29.52 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 31.2x, ROE of 3.0%, and dividend yield of 9.40%.
Is BXMT a good buy right now?+
At $19.07, BXMT trades 54.8% below our fair value estimate of $29.52. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 3.0% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does BXMT pay dividends?+
BXMT has a dividend yield of 9.40%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.