Birchcliff Energy Ltd.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$4.71
FAIR PRICE
$3.43
MARGIN
$1.28
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and consistent growth trajectory, but below-average fundamental quality and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$2.74
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
41.7%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $4.71, BIREF trades 41.7% above the conservative entry level of $2.74. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $3.43 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate BIREF's fair price
Birchcliff Energy Ltd.'s fair price of $3.43 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $4.71, BIREF trades 27.2% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting BIREF's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing BIREF's valuation multiples against Energy peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for BIREF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate BIREF's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of BIREF?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Energy peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Birchcliff Energy Ltd. is $3.43. At the current market price of $4.71, BIREF trades 27.2% above its calculated fair value.
Is BIREF overvalued or undervalued?+
Birchcliff Energy Ltd. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $4.71, which is 27.2% above the fair price of $3.43. The P/E ratio of 25.4x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for BIREF?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $3.43, the conservative entry level for BIREF is $2.74. At the current market price of $4.71, the stock trades 41.7% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is BIREF's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for BIREF daily after market close. The current fair price of $3.43 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect BIREF's fair price calculation?+
BIREF's fair price of $3.43 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Energy peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 25.4x, ROE of 3.3%, and dividend yield of 1.87%.
Is BIREF a good buy right now?+
At $4.71, BIREF trades 27.2% above our fair value estimate of $3.43. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 3.3% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does BIREF pay dividends?+
BIREF has a dividend yield of 1.87%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.