BHP Group Limited
BHPLF is overvalued
OTC · Basic Materials
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$40.91
MARKET PRICE
$36.51
FAIR PRICE
$4.40
MARGIN
COMMUNITY BUY ZONE
UNLOCKS AT 10
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No one has priced BHPLF yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.
COMMUNITY MEDIAN
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BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and high-quality fundamentals across the board.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$29.21
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
28.6%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $40.91, BHPLF trades 28.6% above the conservative entry level of $29.21. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $36.51 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate BHPLF's fair price
BHP Group Limited's fair price of $36.51 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $40.91, BHPLF trades 10.8% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting BHPLF's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing BHPLF's valuation multiples against Basic Materials peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for BHPLF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate BHPLF's fair value with your own inputs.
BHPLF DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with BHPLF's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter BHPLF's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of BHPLF's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare BHPLF against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
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What is the fair price of BHPLF?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for BHP Group Limited is $36.51. At the current market price of $40.91, BHPLF trades 10.8% above its calculated fair value.
Is BHPLF overvalued or undervalued?+
BHP Group Limited is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $40.91, which is 10.8% above the fair price of $36.51. The P/E ratio of 12.3x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for BHPLF?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $36.51, the conservative entry level for BHPLF is $29.21. At the current market price of $40.91, the stock trades 28.6% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is BHPLF's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for BHPLF daily after market close. The current fair price of $36.51 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect BHPLF's fair price calculation?+
BHPLF's fair price of $36.51 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Basic Materials peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 12.3x, ROE of 38.0%, and dividend yield of 3.25%.
Is BHPLF a good buy right now?+
At $40.91, BHPLF trades 10.8% above our fair value estimate of $36.51. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 38.0% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does BHPLF pay dividends?+
BHPLF has a dividend yield of 3.25%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.