Aristocrat Leisure Limited
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$32.39
FAIR PRICE
$24.64
MARGIN
$7.75
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and high-quality fundamentals across the board.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$19.71
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
39.1%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $32.39, ARLUF trades 39.1% above the conservative entry level of $19.71. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $24.64 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate ARLUF's fair price
Aristocrat Leisure Limited's fair price of $24.64 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $32.39, ARLUF trades 23.9% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting ARLUF's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing ARLUF's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for ARLUF, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate ARLUF's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of ARLUF?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Aristocrat Leisure Limited is $24.64. At the current market price of $32.39, ARLUF trades 23.9% above its calculated fair value.
Is ARLUF overvalued or undervalued?+
Aristocrat Leisure Limited is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $32.39, which is 23.9% above the fair price of $24.64. The P/E ratio of 8.2x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for ARLUF?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $24.64, the conservative entry level for ARLUF is $19.71. At the current market price of $32.39, the stock trades 39.1% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is ARLUF's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for ARLUF daily after market close. The current fair price of $24.64 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect ARLUF's fair price calculation?+
ARLUF's fair price of $24.64 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 8.2x, ROE of 44.6%, and dividend yield of 1.86%.
Is ARLUF a good buy right now?+
At $32.39, ARLUF trades 23.9% above our fair value estimate of $24.64. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 44.6% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does ARLUF pay dividends?+
ARLUF has a dividend yield of 1.86%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.