AppLovin
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$438.14
FAIR PRICE
$279.98
MARGIN
$158.16
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FPI RATING
Strong profitability and high-quality fundamentals, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals and volatile earnings pattern.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$223.98
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
48.9%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $438.14, APP trades 48.9% above the conservative entry level of $223.98. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $279.98 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate APP's fair price
AppLovin's fair price of $279.98 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $438.14, APP trades 36.1% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting APP's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing APP's valuation multiples against Technology peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for APP, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate APP's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of APP?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for AppLovin is $279.98. At the current market price of $438.14, APP trades 36.1% above its calculated fair value.
Is APP overvalued or undervalued?+
AppLovin is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $438.14, which is 36.1% above the fair price of $279.98. The P/E ratio of 46.1x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for APP?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $279.98, the conservative entry level for APP is $223.98. At the current market price of $438.14, the stock trades 48.9% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is APP's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for APP daily after market close. The current fair price of $279.98 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect APP's fair price calculation?+
APP's fair price of $279.98 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Technology peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 46.1x, ROE of 249.2%.
Is APP a good buy right now?+
At $438.14, APP trades 36.1% above our fair value estimate of $279.98. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 249.2% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does APP pay dividends?+
APP does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.