Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc.
AHT-PD is overvalued
NYSE · Real Estate
FAIR PRICE
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
$6.29
MARKET PRICE
$5.16
FAIR PRICE
$1.13
MARGIN
COMMUNITY BUY ZONE
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COMMUNITY MEDIAN
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BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation, but volatile earnings pattern and weak profitability margins.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$4.13
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
34.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $6.29, AHT-PD trades 34.4% above the conservative entry level of $4.13. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $5.16 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate AHT-PD's fair price
Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc.'s fair price of $5.16 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $6.29, AHT-PD trades 18.0% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting AHT-PD's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing AHT-PD's valuation multiples against Real Estate peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for AHT-PD, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate AHT-PD's fair value with your own inputs.
AHT-PD DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with AHT-PD's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter AHT-PD's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of AHT-PD's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare AHT-PD against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
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Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of AHT-PD?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. is $5.16. At the current market price of $6.29, AHT-PD trades 18.0% above its calculated fair value.
Is AHT-PD overvalued or undervalued?+
Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $6.29, which is 18.0% above the fair price of $5.16.
What is the margin of safety for AHT-PD?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $5.16, the conservative entry level for AHT-PD is $4.13. At the current market price of $6.29, the stock trades 34.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is AHT-PD's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for AHT-PD daily after market close. The current fair price of $5.16 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect AHT-PD's fair price calculation?+
AHT-PD's fair price of $5.16 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Real Estate peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight)., and dividend yield of 17.75%.
Is AHT-PD a good buy right now?+
At $6.29, AHT-PD trades 18.0% above our fair value estimate of $5.16. The stock is currently overvalued. Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does AHT-PD pay dividends?+
AHT-PD has a dividend yield of 17.75%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.