American Financial Group
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$128.12
FAIR PRICE
$194.34
MARGIN
$66.22
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FPI RATING
High-quality fundamentals, but weak profitability margins and limited growth momentum.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$155.47
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
21.3%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $128.12, AFG trades 21.3% below the conservative entry level of $155.47. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate AFG's fair price
American Financial Group's fair price of $194.34 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $128.12, AFG trades 51.7% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting AFG's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing AFG's valuation multiples against Financial Services peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for AFG, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate AFG's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of AFG?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for American Financial Group is $194.34. At the current market price of $128.12, AFG trades 51.7% below its calculated fair value.
Is AFG overvalued or undervalued?+
American Financial Group is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $128.12, which is 51.7% below the fair price of $194.34. The P/E ratio of 13.8x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for AFG?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $194.34, the conservative entry level for AFG is $155.47. At the current market price of $128.12, the stock trades 21.3% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is AFG's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for AFG daily after market close. The current fair price of $194.34 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect AFG's fair price calculation?+
AFG's fair price of $194.34 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Financial Services peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 13.8x, ROE of 17.6%, and dividend yield of 5.28%.
Is AFG a good buy right now?+
At $128.12, AFG trades 51.7% below our fair value estimate of $194.34. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 17.6% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does AFG pay dividends?+
AFG has a dividend yield of 5.28%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.