Tri Pointe Homes
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$46.90
FAIR PRICE
$69.46
MARGIN
$22.56
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FPI RATING
Attractive valuation and consistent growth trajectory, but weak profitability margins and below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$55.57
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
18.5%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $46.90, TPH trades 18.5% below the conservative entry level of $55.57. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate TPH's fair price
Tri Pointe Homes's fair price of $69.46 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $46.90, TPH trades 48.1% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting TPH's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing TPH's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for TPH, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate TPH's fair value with your own inputs.
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Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of TPH?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Tri Pointe Homes is $69.46. At the current market price of $46.90, TPH trades 48.1% below its calculated fair value.
Is TPH overvalued or undervalued?+
Tri Pointe Homes is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $46.90, which is 48.1% below the fair price of $69.46. The P/E ratio of 13.8x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for TPH?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $69.46, the conservative entry level for TPH is $55.57. At the current market price of $46.90, the stock trades 18.5% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is TPH's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for TPH daily after market close. The current fair price of $69.46 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect TPH's fair price calculation?+
TPH's fair price of $69.46 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 13.8x, ROE of 9.4%.
Is TPH a good buy right now?+
At $46.90, TPH trades 48.1% below our fair value estimate of $69.46. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 9.4% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does TPH pay dividends?+
TPH does not currently pay a dividend.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.