Seagate

OVERVALUEDSTX · NASDAQ · Technology
STX·NASDAQ·Technology
OVERVALUED
Seagate
53.7%downside
MARKET PRICE
$659.05
FAIR PRICE
$305.17
MARGIN
$353.88
UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED
P/E RATIO
65.5x
DIV. YIELD
0.50%
ROE
-889.4%
MARKET CAP
$126B
FPI
fairpriceindex.com

FAIR PRICE VALUATION

53.7%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

MARKET PRICE

$659.05

FAIR PRICE

$305.17

MARGIN

$353.88

UNDERVALUEDFAIROVERVALUED

P/E Ratio

65.5x

What is P/E? →

Div. Yield

0.50%

ROE

-889.4%

Average

Market Cap

$126B

Large-cap

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FPI RATING

5.0/ 10

High-quality fundamentals, but volatile earnings pattern and expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$244.14CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$305.17FAIR PRICE
$659.05MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$244.14

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

63.0%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $659.05, STX trades 63.0% above the conservative entry level of $244.14. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $305.17 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

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P/E RATIO HISTORY

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METHODOLOGY

How we calculate STX's fair price

Seagate's fair price of $305.17 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $659.05, STX trades 53.7% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting STX's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing STX's valuation multiples against Technology peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for STX, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate STX's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of STX?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Seagate is $305.17. At the current market price of $659.05, STX trades 53.7% above its calculated fair value.

Is STX overvalued or undervalued?+

Seagate is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $659.05, which is 53.7% above the fair price of $305.17. The P/E ratio of 65.5x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for STX?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $305.17, the conservative entry level for STX is $244.14. At the current market price of $659.05, the stock trades 63.0% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is STX's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for STX daily after market close. The current fair price of $305.17 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect STX's fair price calculation?+

STX's fair price of $305.17 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Technology peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 65.5x, ROE of -889.4%, and dividend yield of 0.50%.

Is STX a good buy right now?+

At $659.05, STX trades 53.7% above our fair value estimate of $305.17. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at -889.4% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does STX pay dividends?+

STX has a dividend yield of 0.50%.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.