Mattel
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$13.33
FAIR PRICE
$21.18
MARGIN
$7.85
COMMUNITY BUY ZONE
UNLOCKS AT 10
Where does the market buy MAT?
No one has priced MAT yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.
COMMUNITY MEDIAN
▓▓▓▓▓
BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE
▓▓ %
0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK
NOW AVAILABLE
Get notified when MAT's fair price changes
Push notifications when MAT's valuation shifts. Available on iOS and Android.
FPI RATING
Attractive valuation, but below-average fundamental quality.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$16.94
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
27.1%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $13.33, MAT trades 27.1% below the conservative entry level of $16.94. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
P/E RATIO HISTORY
SYNCING FEED ▌
METHODOLOGY
How we calculate MAT's fair price
Mattel's fair price of $21.18 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $13.33, MAT trades 58.9% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting MAT's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing MAT's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for MAT, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate MAT's fair value with your own inputs.
MAT DCF Calculator
Pre-filled with MAT's real free cash flow and share count — set your own growth and discount rate to calculate intrinsic value.
Graham Number
Enter MAT's EPS and book value to see the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for this stock.
P/E Ratio Calculator
Check how much investors pay per dollar of MAT's earnings and compare it against sector benchmarks.
EV/EBITDA Calculator
Compare MAT against peers on a debt-adjusted basis using enterprise value and EBITDA.
LEARN MORE
POWERED BY BULIOS
Get full analysis, financials, and AI insights for MAT.
Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of MAT?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Mattel is $21.18. At the current market price of $13.33, MAT trades 58.9% below its calculated fair value.
Is MAT overvalued or undervalued?+
Mattel is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $13.33, which is 58.9% below the fair price of $21.18. The P/E ratio of 10.8x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for MAT?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $21.18, the conservative entry level for MAT is $16.94. At the current market price of $13.33, the stock trades 27.1% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is MAT's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for MAT daily after market close. The current fair price of $21.18 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect MAT's fair price calculation?+
MAT's fair price of $21.18 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 10.8x, ROE of 17.4%.
Is MAT a good buy right now?+
At $13.33, MAT trades 58.9% below our fair value estimate of $21.18. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 17.4% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does MAT pay dividends?+
MAT does not currently pay a dividend.
RELATED STOCKS
Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.