Graphic Packaging
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$9.47
FAIR PRICE
$20.76
MARGIN
$11.29
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FPI RATING
Stable earnings and revenue and attractive valuation, but below-average fundamental quality and elevated debt levels.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$16.61
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
75.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $9.47, GPK trades 75.4% below the conservative entry level of $16.61. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate GPK's fair price
Graphic Packaging's fair price of $20.76 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $9.47, GPK trades 119.2% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting GPK's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing GPK's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for GPK, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate GPK's fair value with your own inputs.
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Explore on BuliosFAQ
What is the fair price of GPK?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Graphic Packaging is $20.76. At the current market price of $9.47, GPK trades 119.2% below its calculated fair value.
Is GPK overvalued or undervalued?+
Graphic Packaging is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $9.47, which is 119.2% below the fair price of $20.76. The P/E ratio of 6.5x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for GPK?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $20.76, the conservative entry level for GPK is $16.61. At the current market price of $9.47, the stock trades 75.4% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is GPK's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for GPK daily after market close. The current fair price of $20.76 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect GPK's fair price calculation?+
GPK's fair price of $20.76 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 6.5x, ROE of 13.7%, and dividend yield of 4.59%.
Is GPK a good buy right now?+
At $9.47, GPK trades 119.2% below our fair value estimate of $20.76. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 13.7% (average). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does GPK pay dividends?+
GPK has a dividend yield of 4.59%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.