Casey's General Stores, Inc.
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$818.95
FAIR PRICE
$548.34
MARGIN
$270.61
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FPI RATING
Consistent growth trajectory and high-quality fundamentals, but weak profitability margins and expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$438.67
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
46.4%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $818.95, CASY trades 46.4% above the conservative entry level of $438.67. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $548.34 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate CASY's fair price
Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s fair price of $548.34 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $818.95, CASY trades 33.0% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting CASY's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing CASY's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for CASY, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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What is the fair price of CASY?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Casey's General Stores, Inc. is $548.34. At the current market price of $818.95, CASY trades 33.0% above its calculated fair value.
Is CASY overvalued or undervalued?+
Casey's General Stores, Inc. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $818.95, which is 33.0% above the fair price of $548.34. The P/E ratio of 55.0x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for CASY?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $548.34, the conservative entry level for CASY is $438.67. At the current market price of $818.95, the stock trades 46.4% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is CASY's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for CASY daily after market close. The current fair price of $548.34 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect CASY's fair price calculation?+
CASY's fair price of $548.34 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 55.0x, ROE of 20.1%, and dividend yield of 0.36%.
Is CASY a good buy right now?+
At $818.95, CASY trades 33.0% above our fair value estimate of $548.34. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 20.1% (strong). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does CASY pay dividends?+
CASY has a dividend yield of 0.36%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.