ASML
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$1429.01
FAIR PRICE
$987.46
MARGIN
$441.55
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FPI RATING
High-quality fundamentals and strong profitability, but expensive valuation relative to fundamentals.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$789.97
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
44.7%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $1429.01, ASML trades 44.7% above the conservative entry level of $789.97. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $987.46 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate ASML's fair price
ASML's fair price of $987.46 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $1429.01, ASML trades 30.9% above its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting ASML's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing ASML's valuation multiples against Technology peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for ASML, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
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Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate ASML's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of ASML?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Technology peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for ASML is $987.46. At the current market price of $1429.01, ASML trades 30.9% above its calculated fair value.
Is ASML overvalued or undervalued?+
ASML is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $1429.01, which is 30.9% above the fair price of $987.46. The P/E ratio of 47.1x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for ASML?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $987.46, the conservative entry level for ASML is $789.97. At the current market price of $1429.01, the stock trades 44.7% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is ASML's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for ASML daily after market close. The current fair price of $987.46 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect ASML's fair price calculation?+
ASML's fair price of $987.46 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Technology peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 47.1x, ROE of 50.0%, and dividend yield of 0.76%.
Is ASML a good buy right now?+
At $1429.01, ASML trades 30.9% above our fair value estimate of $987.46. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 50.0% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does ASML pay dividends?+
ASML has a dividend yield of 0.76%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.