Allison Transmission
FAIR PRICE VALUATION
Updated daily
Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%
MARKET PRICE
$117.41
FAIR PRICE
$168.46
MARGIN
$51.05
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FPI RATING
Stable earnings and revenue and strong profitability, but elevated debt levels.
Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.
How we calculate this ↗MARGIN OF SAFETY
A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.
SAFETY MARGIN
20%
Below fair value
ENTRY LEVEL
$134.77
Fair price × 0.80
DISTANCE
14.8%
Price to entry level
At the current price of $117.41, ALSN trades 14.8% below the conservative entry level of $134.77. The stock is currently priced below the 20% margin of safety threshold, indicating a potential value opportunity based on the model.
Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗
VALUATION HISTORY
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P/E RATIO HISTORY
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METHODOLOGY
How we calculate ALSN's fair price
Allison Transmission's fair price of $168.46 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $117.41, ALSN trades 43.5% below its calculated fair value.
DCF MODEL · 50%
Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting ALSN's risk profile.
RELATIVE · 30%
Comparing ALSN's valuation multiples against Consumer Cyclical peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.
ANALYST · 20%
Aggregated analyst price targets for ALSN, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.
TRY IT YOURSELF
Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate ALSN's fair value with your own inputs.
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What is the fair price of ALSN?+
Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Allison Transmission is $168.46. At the current market price of $117.41, ALSN trades 43.5% below its calculated fair value.
Is ALSN overvalued or undervalued?+
Allison Transmission is currently undervalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $117.41, which is 43.5% below the fair price of $168.46. The P/E ratio of 18.0x is a key metric in the valuation.
What is the margin of safety for ALSN?+
With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $168.46, the conservative entry level for ALSN is $134.77. At the current market price of $117.41, the stock trades 14.8% below this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.
How often is ALSN's fair price updated?+
We update fair price calculations for ALSN daily after market close. The current fair price of $168.46 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.
What factors affect ALSN's fair price calculation?+
ALSN's fair price of $168.46 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Cyclical peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 18.0x, ROE of 29.5%, and dividend yield of 0.97%.
Is ALSN a good buy right now?+
At $117.41, ALSN trades 43.5% below our fair value estimate of $168.46. The stock is currently undervalued. ROE stands at 29.5% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.
Does ALSN pay dividends?+
ALSN has a dividend yield of 0.97%.
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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.