Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

SFM is overvalued

NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive

FAIR PRICE

16.8%downside

Updated daily

Model: DCF 50% · Relative 30% · Consensus 20%

$85.95

MARKET PRICE

$71.48

FAIR PRICE

$14.47

MARGIN

UNDERFAIROVER

COMMUNITY BUY ZONE

UNLOCKS AT 10

Where does the market buy SFM?

No one has priced SFM yet — be the first. Every investor sets the maximum price they'd still buy at; together that maps the community buy zone.

COMMUNITY MEDIAN

▓▓▓▓▓

BUYERS AT TODAY'S PRICE

▓▓ %

0/10 INVESTORS · 10 MORE TO UNLOCK

METRICS

P/E15.0
P/B5.0
P/S0.8
PEG0.38
DIV YIELD
ROE34.8%
ROIC13.5%
DEBT/EQ1.40
MKT CAP$8B

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FPI RATING

8.6/ 10

Consistent growth trajectory and high-quality fundamentals, but weak profitability margins.

Analytical data, not an investment recommendation. Updated daily.

How we calculate this ↗

MARGIN OF SAFETY

A 20% margin of safety below fair value — the conservative entry level for risk-aware investors.

$57.18CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
$71.48FAIR PRICE
$85.95MARKET PRICE

SAFETY MARGIN

20%

Below fair value

ENTRY LEVEL

$57.18

Fair price × 0.80

DISTANCE

33.5%

Price to entry level

At the current price of $85.95, SFM trades 33.5% above the conservative entry level of $57.18. This entry level represents a 20% margin of safety below the calculated fair price of $71.48 — a buffer that accounts for estimation uncertainty in the valuation model.

Margin of safety is a risk management concept, not an investment recommendation. The 20% threshold follows Benjamin Graham's value investing framework. Fair price and entry levels are model-based estimates updated daily. Learn more about Margin of Safety ↗

VALUATION HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

P/E RATIO HISTORY

SYNCING FEED

METHODOLOGY

How we calculate SFM's fair price

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.'s fair price of $71.48 is derived from a blended model that combines DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers using metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA (30%), and analyst consensus (20%). At the current market price of $85.95, SFM trades 16.8% above its calculated fair value.

DCF MODEL · 50%

Discounted free cash flow analysis based on projected cash flows, discounted at a rate reflecting SFM's risk profile.

RELATIVE · 30%

Comparing SFM's valuation multiples against Consumer Defensive peers to determine if the stock is over or undervalued relative to its industry.

ANALYST · 20%

Aggregated analyst price targets for SFM, weighted by recency and analyst accuracy.

TRY IT YOURSELF

Want to test your own assumptions? Use our free calculators to estimate SFM's fair value with your own inputs.

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FAQ

What is the fair price of SFM?+

Based on our blended model combining DCF analysis (50%), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30%), and analyst consensus (20%), the fair price for Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. is $71.48. At the current market price of $85.95, SFM trades 16.8% above its calculated fair value.

Is SFM overvalued or undervalued?+

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. is currently overvalued based on our valuation model. The stock trades at $85.95, which is 16.8% above the fair price of $71.48. The P/E ratio of 15.0x is a key metric in the valuation.

What is the margin of safety for SFM?+

With a 20% margin of safety applied to the fair price of $71.48, the conservative entry level for SFM is $57.18. At the current market price of $85.95, the stock trades 33.5% above this entry level. Margin of safety is a risk management concept from Benjamin Graham's value investing framework, not an investment recommendation.

How often is SFM's fair price updated?+

We update fair price calculations for SFM daily after market close. The current fair price of $71.48 incorporates the latest market data and sector multiples.

What factors affect SFM's fair price calculation?+

SFM's fair price of $71.48 is derived from DCF analysis (50% weight), relative valuation against Consumer Defensive peers (30% weight), and analyst consensus (20% weight). Key metrics include P/E of 15.0x, ROE of 34.8%.

Is SFM a good buy right now?+

At $85.95, SFM trades 16.8% above our fair value estimate of $71.48. The stock is currently overvalued. ROE stands at 34.8% (exceptional). Fair Price Index provides valuation data — always do your own research before investing.

Does SFM pay dividends?+

SFM does not currently pay a dividend.

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Fair Price Index is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Fair value calculations are model-based estimates and may not reflect actual market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.